Java Zen:Thinking Out Loud Thursday, 2024.03.28
It is fashionable today to assume that any figures about the future are better
than none. To produce figures about the unknown, the current method is to make a
guess about something or other - called an "assumption" - and to derive an
estimate from it by subtle calculation. The estimate is then presented as the
result of scientific reasoning, something far superior to mere guesswork. This
is a pernicious practice that can only lead to the most colossal planning
errors, because it offers a bogus answer where, in fact, an entrepreneurial
judgement is required.

		E. F. Schumacher